Effects of extreme drought have been greatly underestimated. A global study organized and led by Colorado State University scientists and with participation of several researchers from the German Center for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) shows that the effects of extreme drought – which is expected to increase in frequency with climate change – have been greatly underestimated for grasslands and shrublands.
“We were able to determine that the loss of aboveground plant growth – a key measure of ecosystem function – was 60% greater when short-term drought was extreme compared to the less severe droughts that have been more commonly experienced historically,” she said. “Past studies suffered from methodological differences when estimating the impacts of extreme drought in natural ecosystems, but our standardized, distributed approach here addressed that problem.”
Gathering global drought data on grassland and shrubland ecosystems
Known as the International Drought Experiment, the newly published research originally dates back to 2013 as part of the National Science Foundation’s Drought-Net Research Coordination Network. Altogether, there are more than 170 authors representing institutions from around the world cited in the new PNAS study, which was completed over the last four years.
To gather their data, researchers built rainfall manipulation structures to experimentally reduce the amount of naturally occurring precipitation available to ecosystems for at least a full growing season. About half of the participating sites imposed extreme drought conditions with these structures, while the rest imposed less severe drought for comparison.
As Earth’s climate continues to change, short-term droughts that are statistically extreme in intensity will become more common, with what were once considered 1-in-100-year droughts now potentially happening every two to five years. But because of the historic rarity of extreme droughts researchers had been unable to estimate the actual magnitude of their ecological consequences.
Smith said grasslands and shrublands were perfect test areas to fill that research gap because they are easier to manipulate for study than other systems, such as forests. They also store more than 30% of the global stock of carbon and support key industries such as livestock production.
“They are key ecosystems that are scalable to the globe, which makes them highly relevant for this kind of work,” said Smith. “Grasslands and shrublands cover between 30% and 40% of the globe and frequently see deficits in precipitation. That means they are more vulnerable to climate change.”
Findings from the sites, including the Bad Lauchstädt Experime ntal Research Station of the Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), also provide insight into how specific climates, soil and vegetation types broadly influence drought response. While the work shows that drier and less diverse sites are likely to be the most vulnerable to extremes, the severity of the drought was the most consistent and important factor in determining an ecosystem’s response.
“Our data suggests greater losses in drier sites, but if you are getting to the extremes – which is what is being forecasted – we can generally expect substantial losses no matter where you are in the world,” she said. “We also found that even moderate losses from less severe droughts would still likely result in large impacts to the populations that rely on these systems. And then there is a combined loss of function across the globe to consider as well.”
Source:
iDiv News
https://www.idiv.de//en/news/news_single_view/5237.html .
Provided by the IKCEST Disaster Risk Reduction Knowledge Service System
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